Three Shots
by Mathalicious

In the 2005 Conference USA basketball tournament, Memphis trailed Louisville by two points. At the buzzer, Memphis's Darius Washington attempted a 3-pointer; he missed but was fouled, and went to the line for three free throws. What are all the possible ways the shots could fall (e.g. make-miss-miss, etc.), and which outcome do you think is most likely: Washington wins the game, loses it, or sends it into overtime?

What are all the possible ways the shots could fall, and which outcome do you think is most likely: Washington wins the game, loses it, or sends it into overtime?