Three Shots
by Mathalicious

In the finals of the 2005 Conference USA basketball tournament, the University of Memphis trailed Louisville by two points. Just before the buzzer, Memphis guard Darius Washington attempted a 3-point shot; he missed but was fouled, and went to the line for three foul shots.

What are all the possible ways the three shots could fall, and which outcome do you think is most likely: Washington wins the game, loses it, or sends it into overtime?